These are impossible questions to answer with many variables. Be the best you can. If you are great at what you do and good to work with, things will sort themselves out. If you are mediocre to not very good, and not a good person to collaborate with, it likely won’t go well, no matter what the state of the economy is.
Focus in on being amazing at what you love. Keep watch on your peers (globally). You will learn the most from them, and they are your competition, so always have a sense of how you stack up.